Patient access to hospital care and services will be greatly diminished if the Doug Ford Conservatives move forward with future real funding cuts to health care that, in 2023, will climb to $1.25 million for the Dryden Regional Health Centre.

Looking at detailed fiscal information from Ontario’s financial accountability office and the provincial Conservatives’ own budget numbers, the Canadian Union of Public Employees and its hospital division, the Ontario Council of Hospital Unions (OCHU/CUPE), have (over the last year) released projections for the huge bed, staff and funding shortfalls ahead for Ontario’s hospitals.

The Conservatives’ April 2019 budget will cut hospital operating costs in real terms by 3 per cent per year on average. But the cuts will intensify. Dryden’s regional hospital will see a projected funding cut of $750,000 by 2021-2022 and $1.25 million by 2023-2024.

“There is nothing left to trim,” says Michael Hurley, president of OCHU/CUPE. “The Conservatives promised to end the problem of hallway medicine. But what we see is a pathway to increased overcrowding and an intensification of hallway medicine and it only gets worse as we move down the timeline. We are calling on the Conservatives, including area MPP Greg Rickford, to honour their commitment and to fund hospitals at least at their real operating costs.”

These future Conservative cuts will unfold just as Dryden’s senior population is also growing. Between 30 and 35 per cent of Dryden’s population will be over 65 years old in the next two decades.

Based on research compiled by CUPE earlier this summer, the Dryden hospital will have to cut 2 beds and 11 staff over five years to meet the Conservatives’ budget plan. With demographic changes like aging factored in, the impact of those cuts will be like operating the hospitals today with 6 fewer beds and 37 fewer staff.

Many Ontario hospitals are consistently operating at full or overcapacity. In the United Kingdom, hospital occupancy rates over 85 per cent are considered unsafe because of the heightened risk of medical error and the risk of increased transmission of hospital-acquired infections,” said Hurley. “As importantly, there is no dignity for patients in hallways where there is no washroom and no ability to have a confidential discussion with a doctor or a nurse or a chaplain or a family member.”

Ontario has the lowest number of beds-to-population of any province and “there is a tidal wave of demographics underway – hospitals need an investment and additional capacity, not cuts,” said Hurley.